Welcome to the June 2022 property market comment. The Jubilee weekend kicked off the summer in style, although from a property perspective, it feels like we’re in the height of a traditional spring market – with high levels of activity from buyers and sellers alike – many of whom have been waiting to act and are now doing so.
You may have seen in the media that higher inflation, leading to a noticeable increase in the cost of living, along with the associated interest rate rises may temper the property market. And that’s no bad thing. But tempering does not mean that property prices are going to fall any time soon. Not this time around.
We’ve got unemployment at a record 50-year low at just 3.7%, unlike the 8% and 12% rates that accompanied the recessions of 1990 and 2008. At that time, the Bank of England base rate was 14% and 5.5% respectively. Despite recent increases and possibly more to come, the current bank rate it’s still just 1%. The property market will be just fine. There is no indication that prices will fall – last month the Nationwide reported an 11.2% price rise and most pundits such as Zoopla, and major UK estate agencies research analysts are predicting a 3%-5% increase this year. So, the only thing that’s going to fall is the rate of growth, not prices. They are still going up – supported by that strong demand as buyers seek to lock-in fixed rate mortgage deals.
The good news is that more properties are coming to market. About 19% up on this time last year (Source: Knight Frank Research) and don’t forget that 20%-30% of sales are happening before they even hit the portals. And these are mostly being bought by people who are regarded as hot buyers by estate agents. In other words, they either have nothing to sell or are under offer.
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